I think you're right. I'd almost say we're only five years away, since most of the elements are there, it's only assembling them that's needed. Still, with production cycle and development times, I'd say ten years is a safe bet. For various obvious reasons, I think male sexbots will take longer to be developed than female ones.

And yes of course people will fall in love with their sexchatbots. I mean, givenn that there are people right now who claim they are in love with their realdolls. And aren't we glad they aren't saying the same thing about a human partner?

I think true AI is kind of like fusion- it's going to be around the corner for quite a while. I would not actually be at all surprised if AI remains at the same state within my lifetime. NOte this is true AI- advanced expert systems will seem to blur the line to the casual observer.

Now what will likely come on line within five years after sexchatbots, will be real-time link to umm...operators. It would be like cybering, only with a prop or two, and will probably open up new realms of the sex business. And if you'll excuse me now, I have to go wash my brain out with soap.